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	<title>The Bench Jockeys &#187; bachmann</title>
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		<title>GOP Fantasy Draft Kit</title>
		<link>http://thebenchjockeys.com/2011/09/08/gop-fantasy-draft-kit/</link>
		<comments>http://thebenchjockeys.com/2011/09/08/gop-fantasy-draft-kit/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Sep 2011 00:35:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ian Paregol]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Sport/Pol Crossover]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2012]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bachmann]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[debate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fantasy football]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[football]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gingrich]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GOP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[huntsman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[perry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[romney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sports]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://thebenchjockeys.com/?p=1136</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sept 8, 2011 &#8211; What did we learn from last night’s GOP gab-fest in Simi Valley, Cali?  As far as potential presidential candidates, Mitt Romney looks to be losing his grip on the #1 slot, Rick Perry is gaining ground, Michele Bachmann’s numbers are slipping, Ron Paul is getting older, and no matter how smart [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://thebenchjockeys.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/romney_perry_bachmann_110815_620x3501.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-1146" title="romney_perry_bachmann_110815_620x350[1]" alt="" src="http://thebenchjockeys.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/romney_perry_bachmann_110815_620x3501-300x169.jpg" width="300" height="169" /></a>Sept 8, 2011 &#8211; What did we learn from last night’s GOP gab-fest in Simi Valley, Cali?  As far as potential presidential candidates, Mitt Romney looks to be losing his grip on the #1 slot, Rick Perry is gaining ground, Michele Bachmann’s numbers are slipping, Ron Paul is getting older, and no matter how smart Jon Huntsman is, no one is picking him – possibly because of the team he played for last year.  In fact, the whole ranking of GOP hopefuls is not unlike the Fantasy Football draft which 3 of the 4 Bench Jockeys have participated in for the last 20 years and which took place at the exact same time as the Republican debate.  Not a coincidence.</p>
<p>Last night, while DVRing the debate, the stars aligned to allow yours truly to snake Ray Rice as the 6<sup>th</sup> pick of the draft.  6<sup>th</sup>!  Although I had to change draft strategies on the fly, I am thrilled with the opportunity to own Ray-Ray through the 2012 election.   Interestingly, four game-tested QBs were selected in the first 13 picks, as a significant percentage of the owners did not want to be saddled with an inexperienced leader at the reigns.  Does that perhaps portend the proclivities of the populace?</p>
<p>However, the more intriguing development was the way Jamaal Charles (touted by the media as a top five selection) plummeted all the way to pick #11.  He was the fantasy equivalent of Newt Gingrich – chock full of spin and promise but ultimately dropping off of the radar when the doubts started to surface.  The media can try to establish the market, but a discerning and involved public understands far more than the pabulum that it is fed.   As I watched the post-mortem on the debate, I was positively disgusted at the manner in which a purportedly unbiased media portrayed each candidate as hero or villain depending on the particular leanings of each pundit.  Make no mistake, the media control the message far better and far more effectively than any campaign manager.  The media has the forum and the capacity to bombard the airways with any sound bite, whether favorable or devastating to a candidate, relative to any subject matter.  The only way that a voter can make a truly informed decision is through an individualized analysis, and honestly, who has the time to rifle through the interwebs to fact-check every candidate?  No one.  And that’s exactly what the media counts on.</p>
<p>So open up wide, America.  CNN, NBC and FOX will keep feeding you their agendas and you can just keep swallowing or, maybe, just maybe, you will come to the voting booths on November 6, 2012 with a well-researched portfolio of facts, data and trend analysis where you can formulate your own decisions about the leadership of this great country.</p>
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		<title>Powers Shift in Iowa; Gophers Make News in Hawkeye State</title>
		<link>http://thebenchjockeys.com/2011/08/14/powers-shift-in-iowa/</link>
		<comments>http://thebenchjockeys.com/2011/08/14/powers-shift-in-iowa/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Aug 2011 14:02:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ian Paregol]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Quick Hook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2012]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bachmann]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GOP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[odds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pawlenty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[perry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[romney]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://thebenchjockeys.com/?p=1082</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Although we need to get back to blogging about some sports here at The Bench Jockeys, baseball has not started its pennant run, the NFL is still in pre-season mode and tennis&#8217; US Open is not for two weeks.  What has heated up, however, is the race for GOP Presidential Nomination.  The first measuring stick for [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://thebenchjockeys.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/110724_bachmann_pawlenty_ap_3281.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-1095" title="110724_bachmann_pawlenty_ap_328[1]" alt="" src="http://thebenchjockeys.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/110724_bachmann_pawlenty_ap_3281-300x162.jpg" width="300" height="162" /></a>Although we need to get back to blogging about some sports here at <strong>The Bench Jockeys</strong>, baseball has not started its pennant run, the NFL is still in pre-season mode and tennis&#8217; US Open is not for two weeks.  What has heated up, however, is the race for GOP Presidential Nomination.  The first measuring stick for the candidates, the Ames Iowa Straw Poll, concluded voting last nite.  Michele Bachmann snakes a win in the poll, with Ron Paul finishing second and T-Paw taking show.  But just like kissing your sister, 3rd place is not what Pawlenty was setting his sights on.   Apparently with Tim Pawlenty&#8217;s coffers beginning to run dry and his loss to fellow Minnesotian Bachmann, coupled with the entry of Rick Perry into the fray, Tim is pulling up stakes and calling it a campaign.  As a result of this stunner, we have adjusted our top two tiers.  Paul&#8217;s second place finish in Iowa, does not move his dial, but Bachmann gets a big uptick and Perry becomes the new #2 to Romney.  For those of you asking, &#8220;Where is Mitt?&#8221; Ronmey did not compete.</p>
<p>Tier 1</p>
<table width="450" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<colgroup span="1">
<col span="1" width="123" />
<col span="1" width="139" />
<col span="1" width="43" />
<col span="1" width="74" />
<col span="1" width="71" /> </colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="123" height="20"><strong>Candidate</strong></td>
<td width="139"><strong>Background</strong></td>
<td width="43"><strong>Status</strong></td>
<td width="74"><strong>Open</strong></td>
<td width="71"><strong>Current</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Mitt Romney</td>
<td>Former Gov &#8211; MA</td>
<td>A</td>
<td>7:2</td>
<td>3:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Rick Perry</td>
<td>Current Gov &#8211; TX</td>
<td>A</td>
<td>50:1</td>
<td>7:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Michele Bachmann</td>
<td>Current US Rep &#8211; MN</td>
<td> A</td>
<td>25:1</td>
<td>14:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Ron Paul</td>
<td>Current US Rep &#8211; TX</td>
<td> A</td>
<td>9:1</td>
<td>15:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>Tier 2</p>
<table width="450" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<colgroup span="1">
<col span="1" width="123" />
<col span="1" width="139" />
<col span="1" width="43" />
<col span="1" width="74" />
<col span="1" width="71" /> </colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="123" height="20"><strong>Candidate</strong></td>
<td width="139"><strong>Background</strong></td>
<td width="43"><strong>Status</strong></td>
<td width="74"><strong>Open</strong></td>
<td width="71"><strong>Current</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Jim DeMint</td>
<td>Current US Sen &#8211; SC</td>
<td></td>
<td>14:1</td>
<td>25:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Herman Cain</td>
<td>Former Fed Reserve</td>
<td>A</td>
<td>25:1</td>
<td>25:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Chris Christie</td>
<td>Current Gov &#8211; NJ</td>
<td></td>
<td>18:1</td>
<td>25:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Marco Rubio</td>
<td>Current US Sen &#8211; FL</td>
<td></td>
<td>20:1</td>
<td>25:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Bobby Jindal</td>
<td>Current Gov &#8211; LA</td>
<td></td>
<td>30:1</td>
<td>30:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Sarah Palin</td>
<td>Former Gov &#8211; AK</td>
<td></td>
<td>25:1</td>
<td>35:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Jon Huntsman</td>
<td>Former Gov &#8211; UT</td>
<td>A</td>
<td>40:1</td>
<td>35:1</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>To view Tiers 3 and 4 click here: <a href="http://thebenchjockeys.com/2012-gop-nomination-odds-2-0/">http://thebenchjockeys.com/2012-gop-nomination-odds-2-0/</a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>2012 GOP Presidential Candidates Odds 2.0</title>
		<link>http://thebenchjockeys.com/2011/08/09/2012-gop-presidential-candidates-odds-2-0/</link>
		<comments>http://thebenchjockeys.com/2011/08/09/2012-gop-presidential-candidates-odds-2-0/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Aug 2011 14:07:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ian Paregol]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Horseshoe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2012]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bachmann]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[debate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GOP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iowa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[odds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[paul]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[perry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[presidential]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[romney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rubio]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://thebenchjockeys.com/?p=1077</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The GOP hopefuls will be back at it again in Iowa on August 11th.   As the candidates size up one another under the watchful eye of FOX News, the Bench Jockeys thought it was time to separate the contenders from the pretenders and develop a tiered chart for easy review.  On this chart, we have [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The GOP hopefuls will be back at it again in Iowa on August 11<sup>th</sup>.   As the candidates size up one another under the watchful eye of FOX News, the Bench Jockeys thought it was time to separate the contenders from the pretenders and develop a tiered chart for easy review.  On this chart, we have maintained our original opening odds from April 12, 2011 along with each candidate’s current odds to win the nomination (as we see it).  A separate designation (A) has been added for those candidate who have officially entered the fracas.</p>
<p>In this iteration of our odds-making, we have winnowed the field and have scratched Donald Trump, Mike Huckabee, Lindsey Graham, Haley Barbour and Mitch Daniels to reflect their current intentions to remain on the sidelines.  However, if the citizenry truly begins to seek to limit Obama to one term,<span id="more-1077"></span> we would not discount the possibility of any of the above-named individuals re-entering the process.  David Petraeus, Conde Rice and Bob McDonnell seem to be either content with their existing positions or lack the moxie for a run at the Presidency so we have pulled them from the list.  Others who have not declared have now been relegated to our off-line fourth tier and have been dropped from this GOP Nom 2.0 list.  Those seeking to examine our original 40 candidate list will find a jump-link below:</p>
<p><a href="http://thebenchjockeys.com/the-bench-jockeys-set-odds-on-the-2012-presidential-hopefuls/">http://thebenchjockeys.com/the-bench-jockeys-set-odds-on-the-2012-presidential-hopefuls/</a></p>
<p>We will continue to maintain the comprehensive list on a stand alone page, keeping our odds current while considering trending.</p>
<p>Tier 1</p>
<table border="0" width="450" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<colgroup span="1">
<col span="1" width="123" />
<col span="1" width="139" />
<col span="1" width="43" />
<col span="1" width="74" />
<col span="1" width="71" /> </colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="123" height="20"><strong>Candidate</strong></td>
<td width="139"><strong>Background</strong></td>
<td width="43"><strong>Status</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;" width="74"><strong>Open</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;" width="71"><strong>Current</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Mitt Romney</td>
<td>Former Gov &#8211; MA</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">A</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">7:2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Tim Pawlenty</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">Current Gov &#8211; MN</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">A</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">4:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">5:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Rick Perry</td>
<td>Current Gov &#8211; TX</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">50:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">12:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Ron Paul</td>
<td>Current US Rep &#8211; TX</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"> A</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">9:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">15:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Jim DeMint</td>
<td>Current US Sen &#8211; SC</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">14:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">18:1</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>Tier 2</p>
<table border="0" width="450" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<colgroup span="1">
<col span="1" width="123" />
<col span="1" width="139" />
<col span="1" width="43" />
<col span="1" width="74" />
<col span="1" width="71" /> </colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="123" height="20"><strong>Candidate</strong></td>
<td width="139"><strong>Background</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;" width="43"><strong>Status</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;" width="74"><strong>Open</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;" width="71"><strong>Current</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Michele Bachmann</td>
<td>Current US Rep &#8211; MN</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">A</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">25:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">22:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Herman Cain</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">Former Fed Reserve</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">A</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">25:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">25:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Chris Christie</td>
<td>Current Gov &#8211; NJ</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">18:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">25:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Marco Rubio</td>
<td>Current US Sen &#8211; FL</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">20:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">25:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Bobby Jindal</td>
<td>Current Gov &#8211; LA</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">30:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">30:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Sarah Palin</td>
<td>Former Gov &#8211; AK</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">25:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">35:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Jon Huntsman</td>
<td>Former Gov &#8211; UT</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">A</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">40:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">35:1</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>Although we have downgraded him with respect to the 2012 election, we absolutely see Marco Rubio as a potential VP candidate.  The old guard Republicans would be wise to include Rubio on their ticket in an effort to pass the torch to the next gen of the GOP while they can still wield some influence on him.   Considering the expanding Latino demographic shift in the US, Rubio’s oratory strength and his fiscally conservative economic platform, his selection by the party should be a no-brainer.  But then again, the GOP paired John McCain with “the maverick” in 2008, so who knows….</p>
<p>Tier 3</p>
<table border="0" width="450" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<colgroup span="1">
<col span="1" width="123" />
<col span="1" width="139" />
<col span="1" width="43" />
<col span="1" width="74" />
<col span="1" width="71" /> </colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="123" height="20"><strong>Candidate</strong></td>
<td width="139"><strong>Background</strong></td>
<td width="43"><strong>Status</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;" width="74"><strong>Open</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;" width="71"><strong>Current</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Jeb Bush</td>
<td>Former Gov &#8211; FL</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">50:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">50:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Newt Gingrich</td>
<td>Former Spkr of House</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">A</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">12:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">60:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Allen West</td>
<td>Current US Rep &#8211; FL</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">100:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">80:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Rudy Giuliani</td>
<td>Former Mayor &#8211; NYC</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">200:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">200:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Rick Santorum</td>
<td>Former US Sen &#8211; PA</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">A</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1000:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">250:1</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>Tier 4 &#8211; Announced candidates with zippy chance of winning</p>
<table border="0" width="450" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<colgroup span="1">
<col span="1" width="123" />
<col span="1" width="139" />
<col span="1" width="43" />
<col span="1" width="74" />
<col span="1" width="71" /> </colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="123" height="20"><strong>Candidate</strong></td>
<td width="139"><strong>Background</strong></td>
<td width="43"><strong>Status</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;" width="74"><strong>Open</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;" width="71"><strong>Current</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Thad McCotter</td>
<td>Current US Rep &#8211; MI</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">A</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">none</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">750:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Gary Johnson</td>
<td>Former Gov &#8211; NM</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">A</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">500:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1000:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Buddy Roemer</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">Former Gov &#8211; LA</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">A</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">5000:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">5000:1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td height="20">Fred Karger</td>
<td>Political Consultant</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">A</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">a trillion:1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">a trillion:1</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
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