And Then There Were 3

Besides being a great album by Genesis, only two primaries into the nomination process, all the fun is almost over.  Yes, I know that Rick Santorum is still technically in the GOP race, but let’s face facts; he is not going to emerge as the GOP’s 2012 nominee.  That is unless, of course, Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney damage each other so badly with assertions and accusations that neither candidate is deemed electable by the party.  Ronald Reagan’s 11th Commandment is now a distant memory which is surprising since Gingrich uses every opportunity he gets to align his philosophies with those of The Great Communicator.  Gingrich’s goading forced Mitt to take the gloves off in Florida, and I will not be shocked if someone finds himself in a headlock during Florida Part Deux.  Mitt and Newt are making the President’s re-election campaign far too easy.  Painting each other as  the embodiment of all that is unholy and diabolical is not the way the Republicans are going to win in 2012.  Our updated Odds to win the GOP Nomination follow:

Candidate Opening odds to win GOP Last Current
Mitt Romney 7:2 3:2 5:2
Newt Gingrich 12:1 8:1 7:1
Ron Paul 9:1 30:1 12:1
Rick Santorum 1000:1 100:1 80:1

And now our newest feature… GOP Electoral Face-off odds vs. Obama.

The current count does not consider the impact of the GOP running mate or the potential VP switcheroo of Joe Biden and Hillary Clinton.



Candidate vs. Obama Electorial College Count
Mitt Romney Romney 142/ Obama 396
Newt Gingrich Gingrich 65/ Obama 473
Ron Paul Paul 78/ Obama 460
Rick Santorum Santorum 0/ Obama 538
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3 Responses to “And Then There Were 3”

  1. Butch Says:

    Mr Paregol if you are still offering 5:2 on Romney I’ll take it for a round of golf.

  2. Marcee Says:

    Your odds are scary. Can’t you sugar coat them?

  3. Ian Paregol Says:

    Absolutely. It’s his to lose. You can have the field.

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